Why a Plan to Recognize and Monitor the Environmentally Displaced is Essential
The recent flooding in Pakistan has resulted in the displacement of almost six million people. Mudslides in the Gansu province in China have displaced millions in the country’s worse flooding in a decade. The displaced are left without homes and few places to go, living day to day with no idea where or when they will rebuild.
Global estimates on the potential number of so-called “environmental displacements” vary. The Geneva Convention, does not grant refugee status to those affected by natural disasters, therefor the United Nations does not keep a tally of such data, as it does with those displaced during war.
As natural disasters have increased in size and intensity due to the effects of climate change, the number of displaced have exceeded the number of refugees afflicted by war. Estimates from the Center from American Progress, state that the number of climate change refugees currently range from 25 to 50 million, much higher than the official refugee population of 20.8 million, and with expected increases reaching into the hundreds of millions. “[With] rising sea levels, increasing desertification, weather-induced flooding, and other environmental changes, will likely displace many more hundreds of millions of people.”
There have been few studies to predict the amount of environmental refugees due to climate change and the effects of such events. In fact, no one really knows with certainty, the number of environmental refugees due to climate change that will emerge in the future.
With so much uncertainty, we are in need of a genuine plan to count and assist those affected by natural disasters. As our world continues to see increased flooding, degradation of resources and desertification, an international agreement between the U.N. member nations to track, monitor, and assist environmental displacements is essential. Much of how we react is now defined as human aid assistance following environmental disasters and usually comes in the form of emergency shelter, food and health care.
We have an urgent need for policymakers to act and provide response plans for the environmentally displaced and the U.S. should be taking the lead. “The United States, as the largest contributor to global warming—accounting for 25 percent of the world’s carbon pollution—has a moral responsibility to lead the global effort to curb this phenomenon. The United States can use its economic and technical strength to transform this daunting challenge into an opportunity for innovation” notes the Center for American Progress. A plan to count, track and monitor those displaced due to climate change would be a immense task, but one that would truly be beneficial.
As climate change continues to cause more massive and frequent climate irregularities, tensions among those effected will also rise. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change notes that as a result of environmental degradation and loss of resources resulting in human migration can lead to military conflicts. As resources become more scare, conflicts will emerge.
By ensuring that we know and understand the full force of the effects of climate change and how the displaced will be able to recuperate from the disasters, we can better predict the changes in migration, while protecting and serving those in need. There is no reason why there should not be a plan of action if 25 to 50 million people have already been displaced. With international agreements and laws to ensure those displaced will be acknowledged and treated, we may not be able to save homes, but we can save lives.
As the flooding in Pakistan continues and wildfires in Russia rage out of control, we are assured that migrations due to climate change are real and are happening now. That’s why it is so important that we act now.